Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.131454 0.146767 0.163728 0.184012 0.207751 0.234825 0.268288
2024-10-13 0.106771 0.126511 0.150205 0.181144 0.221087 0.271788 0.342470
2024-10-20 0.092007 0.114184 0.142558 0.182392 0.238347 0.316558 0.438838
2024-10-27 0.079241 0.101823 0.132159 0.177244 0.245079 0.347970 0.526154
2024-11-03 0.072966 0.096843 0.130424 0.183162 0.268136 0.408399 0.679861
2024-11-10 0.067623 0.092247 0.128267 0.187640 0.289420 0.471289 0.864055
2024-11-17 0.061506 0.085672 0.122106 0.184485 0.296879 0.511374 1.020924
2024-11-24 0.056056 0.079445 0.115613 0.179570 0.299901 0.543446 1.175682
2024-12-01 0.050344 0.072244 0.106734 0.169183 0.290518 0.547335 1.262351
2024-12-08 0.047289 0.068917 0.103765 0.168779 0.300435 0.595983 1.501293
2024-12-15 0.045462 0.067364 0.103540 0.173286 0.321224 0.676607 1.898234
2024-12-22 0.042426 0.063563 0.099057 0.169026 0.322245 0.708338 2.153363
2024-12-29 0.041178 0.062730 0.099840 0.175539 0.349795 0.824011 2.873810
2025-01-05 0.038688 0.059591 0.096192 0.172596 0.354628 0.877753 3.396590
2025-01-12 0.036965 0.057647 0.094553 0.173654 0.369779 0.971200 4.287621
2025-01-19 0.034673 0.054531 0.090426 0.168778 0.368554 1.010411 4.932513
2025-01-26 0.033807 0.053890 0.090958 0.174299 0.396850 1.170790 6.865103
2025-02-02 0.032849 0.053004 0.090909 0.178482 0.422656 1.339365 9.538016
2025-02-09 0.031241 0.050798 0.088019 0.175524 0.426467 1.418137 11.625779
2025-02-16 0.029602 0.048432 0.084620 0.170918 0.424230 1.469560 13.672024
2025-02-23 0.027594 0.045265 0.079366 0.161179 0.403733 1.423634 14.024183
2025-03-02 0.026602 0.043975 0.077910 0.160801 0.413980 1.541131 18.238739
2025-03-09 0.026084 0.043560 0.078246 0.165027 0.441018 1.771746 27.841689